Thursday, May 10, 2012

Roundup at the Financial Crisis Corral

Books about the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 continue to dribble out.  (This is the sort of shocking insight which keeps people coming back to this here blog.)  I continue to assign such books to undergraduates.  (This is the sort of useless information which makes the aforementioned people think, “Why do I bother reading this blog?”)  I then proceed to write up ruminations about these books on this blog.  Every now and then I pause and think, “What about the poor Reader?”  Such concern for the Reader is, to be sure, atypical.  However, I assigned four books about the financial crisis last semester, I never got around to writing up a review of any of them, so now I am faced with spending four consecutive posts on the same topic or lumping all the reviews into one post.  Prudence dictates the latter.  The Reader can now express heartfelt thanks.

1. Lewis, Boomerang: Travels in the New Third World
If you are a normal person, and if you are curious about Matters Economic, this is the top choice from this list.  But, putting here is cheating a bit.  It’s not really clear that it belongs on this list.  The New Third World in the subtitle is the former first world.  There are chapters on Iceland, Greece, Ireland, Germany and the US.  As with all of Michael Lewis’ books, it is clever, amusing, and offers some genuine insight.  It is, in short, a crowd pleaser—though it probably won’t generate a mega-movie deal (cf. Moneyball, The Blind Side).  The Iceland story was the most fascinating.  How did a tiny fishing outpost turn into the most spectacular rise and crash in the financial crisis?  This is a whole country which went all in on activities which makes the US housing bubble look like Child’s Play.  Then the whole country went bankrupt.  It’s really incredible when you think about it.  The heart of the book is a nice tour of why the European situation is hopeless.  And then, the coup de grace—if you think the US has weathered the worst crisis of your lifetime, think again.  The big problem is still looming, and nobody is paying attention.  City after city, state after state, and ultimately the federal government itself, are heading for a massive fiscal problem for which there is no easy solution.  Cities, states and the federal government all have huge (as in worthy of Gargantua and Pantagruel) pension obligations and there is literally no money to make those payments.  If these government were private operations, they would be bankrupt.  We are starting to see the beginnings of this problem.  Lewis talks to the former governor of California, moves onto San Jose (my old home town) and then to Vallejo (Vallejo!) documenting the process of bankruptcy.  Vallejo is the future.  It’s not pretty.

But, cheer up.  At least the government is on the job

2. Morgenson and Rosner, Reckless Endangerment: How Outsized Ambition, Greed, and Corruption led to Economic Armageddon
Never mind about that cheering up bit.  This is a book all about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  The book suffers from typical journalistic sensationalism—the subtitle alone makes one cringe.  That being said, I knew that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were corrupt, but even still, I was surprised (well actually shocked) to discover just how corrupt they actually were (are?).  This is a really ugly story of a quasi-governmental organization gone terribly wrong.  And all in the name of the public good.  Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were set up to help poor people get mortgages so they could buy homes.  That sounds like a really nice thing to do.  Then the directors realized they could make large amounts of money and pay themselves large salaries simply by making large donations to the politicians who were ostensibly regulating them.  Houses for the poor and everyone involved got rich.  Win-win.  Well, except for the taxpayers who got to foot the bill in the end.

But, cheer up. At least Economists have figured out how to make sure it doesn’t happen again.

3. A book with 15 authors, The Squam Lake Report: Fixing the Financial System
I’m not joking about the 15 authors—this book has that many listed authors.  And it isn’t a collection of essays by 15 different people—it is one book with 15 authors.  So, with 15 authors, a veritable Who’s Who of the Monetary Economics world, it must be pretty impressive, right?  Sigh.  Forget about that cheer up line in the previous paragraph.  What a tedious book.  It reads like…a committee report.  Safe, dull, over-worked recommendations based on safe, dull detail-light explanations.  That’s what happens, I suppose, when 15 people co-author a book.  Who is the audience for this book?   I have no idea.  I assigned it in Money and Banking.  The chief virtue according to my students:  it’s short.  Hardly a ringing endorsement.  If this is the state of the art in thinking about how to find our way past the financial crisis, it’s time to despair.

But, cheer up.  At least there are technical economists working on detailed technical proposals which could clear up everything.

4. Acharaya, Cooley, Richardson, Walter, eds. Regulating Wall Street: The Dodd-Frank Act and the New Architecture of Global Finance
It’s pretty funny when you see a book with four editors and think, that’s not so bad compared to a book with 15 authors.  This book is economics for economists.  Technical economists.  Eighteen chapters with detailed analyses of the problems in the financial sector and detailed suggestions on what can be done. For example, one of the chapters describes an important idea thus: “Contingent capital (often referred to as reverse contingent convertible bonds or Coco bonds) constitutes a form of uninsured debt that converts automatically into equity when certain prespecified triggers are hit….Contingent capital is designed to facilitate a transfer of losses when a firms’ equity is being depleted by converting some debt into equity, thereby ensuring that the bank still maintains a sufficient level of capitalization.”  (Acharaya, Kulkarni and Richardson authored those sentences—a mere three authors!)  That’s an example of the sort of clever ideas which are being floated these days.  And if you liked those two sentences, then this book is for you.  If you skipped them, then walk on by, but while strolling past those guys in the white lab coats:

Cheer up!  With economists working hard at solving the big problems in the big, bad world, there is every reason to be happy.

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